TrendingPoliticsSportsTechFinanceEnergyEconomyHealthCulture

Sign up free to trace and build a Prediction Credibility Score (PCS) that influences market probabilities.

Will the S&P 500 close above 6,000 by end of Q1 2026?

Market Probability

Yes 70%
30% No

Expert Probability (PCS) ⓘ

Yes 68%
32% No

Experts slightly disagree with the market by 4%

Liquidity: $312KTrades: 55
Market
Expert (PCS)
50¢60¢70¢80¢JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb✦massemarket
Hot topics
1.

Will NNPC reduce fuel price back to N600 before March ends?

80%
2.

Will NNPC reduce fuel price back to N600 before March ends?

79%
3.

Will NNPC reduce fuel price back to N600 before March ends?

80%
4.

Will NNPC reduce fuel price back to N600 before March ends?

79%
5.

Will NNPC reduce fuel price back to N600 before March ends?

79%

All Markets

Which party will win the 2027 Presidential Election?
OptionsMarketExpert ⓘ
APC60%
72%+12%
PDP40%
10%-30%

Experts slightly disagree with the market by 4%

Liquidity: $450KTrades: 38
Will the S&P 500 close above 6,000 by end of Q1 2026?

Market Probability

Yes 70%
30% No

Expert Probability (PCS) ⓘ

Yes 68%
32% No

Experts are more optimistic than the market by 7%

Liquidity: $312KTrades: 55
Which party will win the 2027 Presidential Election?
OptionsMarketExpert ⓘ
APC60%
72%+12%
PDP40%
28%-12%

Experts slightly disagree with the market by 4%

Liquidity: $450KTrades: 50
Will the S&P 500 close above 6,000 by end of Q1 2026?

Market Probability

Yes 70%
30% No

Expert Probability (PCS) ⓘ

Yes 89%
11% No

Experts are more optimistic than the market by 7%

Liquidity: $310KTrades: 65
Which party will win the 2027 Presidential Election?
OptionsMarketExpert ⓘ
APC60%
72%+12%
PDP40%
28%-12%

Experts slightly disagree with the market by 4%

Liquidity: $450KTrades: 50
Will the S&P 500 close above 6,000 by end of Q1 2026?

Market Probability

Yes 72%
28% No

Expert Probability (PCS) ⓘ

Yes 68%
32% No

Experts are more optimistic than the market by 7%

Liquidity: $312KTrades: 55
Will Manchester City win the Premier League 2025/26?

Market Probability

Yes 55%
45% No

Expert Probability (PCS) ⓘ

Yes 50%
50% No

Experts slightly disagree with the market by 5%

Liquidity: $280KTrades: 42
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Market Probability

Yes 35%
65% No

Expert Probability (PCS) ⓘ

Yes 30%
70% No

Experts slightly disagree with the market by 5%

Liquidity: $300KTrades: 60
Will crude oil drop below $60/barrel by mid 2026?

Market Probability

Yes 40%
60% No

Expert Probability (PCS) ⓘ

Yes 35%
65% No

Experts slightly disagree with the market by 5%

Liquidity: $340KTrades: 48